Three arguments in favor Trump's re-election don’t hold good anymore
President Trump’s re-election campaign is based on three premises, but a report from CNBC says these premises are collapsing.
These three premises are strong US economy, make socialism a central focus and Trump’s “us vs. them” approach to Washington and the federal government.
The first premise of a strong US economy is already in questions. The stock markets are down, major parts of the country are closed down and economists believe the economy is inching towards recession.
The second premise of making socialism a central focus of his attack also seems to be disappearing. It was well known that this premise won’t hold well without Bernie Sanders to run against. Sanders, however, has failed to win over Democratic primary voters. It is largely expected that Joe Biden, an experienced moderate, would be nominated to run against Trump.
Trump built his political brand arguing not to trust the big government. However, now he wants the people to trust the big government in the fight against coronavirus and in efforts to save the economy from going into recession.
In a recent survey by NBC/Wall Street Journal, 62% of the respondents expressed confidence in the federal government compared to 48% in Trump, when it comes to handling the coronavirus crisis.
A point to note is that the situation was very different a month ago. “Since my election, U.S. stock markets have soared 70%, adding more than $12 trillion to our nation’s wealth, transcending anything anyone believed was possible,” Trump said during his State of the Union address in February. Sanders also was in a much better position than he is now.
This is why
It took a crisis to see the cracks, apparently. The pandemic cannot be solved unequivocally by trusting that fractured local and state governments will be able to handle the fall-out. For instance, the EU is made up of 27 member states, spanning a similar size as the entire United States. Without the overarching oversight of the EU, coordinating pandemic measures would've been much tougher. These member states offer universal health care, paid sick leave, and many other of the European niceties Republicans have spent endless time lambasting.
But let's unwrap each of the three premises put forth by this summary.
1. A strong US economy
First, there's no surprise that a pandemic would drastically affect the stock market. Second, this brings me to highlight that the association between the sitting President and the economy isn't as correlated as some presume. Like it or not, Trump didn't "order" economic disaster, nor did he "order" a great economy since he inherited a strong economy when he took office. But as we see, it just takes a moment to wipe out all the gains made during this time, and suggesting the President's performance has all that much to do with it isn't necessarily true.
2. Making socialism a central focus of his attack.
It would've been the perfect storm, wouldn't it? Trump vs. a socialist. But I'm not too concerned about this premise falling, a new one will come in to replace it, neatly tailored toward Biden.
3. Don't trust big government.
But what do we do when Big Brother isn't just watching, but needed? Scary "big government" is the last hope for many people out there, including many in my direct surroundings. Money isn't being made, so how will we pay the bills? Lambast the "lazy poor" all you want, but the way the country is set up is none of that "bootstrap friendly" nonsense people spout. Many of us are waiting for an imaginary bootstrap to fall from the sky, and pull is out of financial ruin.
Trump you've got some work to do.
The CNBC article is a yet one more distortion and propaganda piece by the "drive by" mainstream media in an attempt to further the "Trump has blown his chances of re-election." narrative.
The fact that the article suggests Trump was absolutely depending on Sanders to win (and depending on a "Democracy vs Socialism" argument to carry him through to that win) is baseless; there's plenty of baggage and issues with Biden to make him very ripe for the picking when it comes to successful debate tactics. Do I really need to mention them here? I believe we all know what they are: the candidate who has repeatedly made gaffe after gaffe, as many as 30 or 40 times, while on the campaign tour, gaffes that the mainstream media largely ignored. Some were small but some quite glaring, to the point where many nonpartisan type people actually question whether Biden has all his marbles. And this doesn't even include his tendency to become too touchy-feely with people including children, or is tendency to bark at and get right in the face of people asking questions that he doesn't like nor is this including Barisma which blew up late last year and has still not been rightfully spoken of or accounted for by the Bidens.
And there's the economy which the left still can't make up their mind on whether this is/was Obama's economy that is crumbling or actually Trumps economy that he's losing control off, or exactly when he got control. In ridiculous fashion, we have been told for 3 plus years that he inherited it and is simply a minder, or he's partly responsible but still credit largely goes to Obama, and on and on. Know this, no reasonable person left or right would or should hold the president responsible for the economic impacts caused by Covid 19.
Lastly, conflating a federal response to help people during this worldwide pandemic and comparing that to Trump flip-flopping on his earlier statements about a deep state is pure garbage. We are at war, as such the times justify a massive federal response.
Trump's Reelection Is in His Hands
America’s way of life has been overturned. Due to the worldwide COVID-19 epidemic, what once was normal has become outlawed, and what once was outlandish has become commonplace. Things in the US will forever be changed following the Coronavirus outbreak, however, the fundamentals will remain unchanged. Just like Donald Trump.
The Trump campaign appears to be getting hit from all sides at the moment. Trump’s precious economy has collapsed. Bernie Sanders and his socialist policies have finally been defeated by a rolling Joe Biden. And some people have accused the President of the hypocrisy of using a “whole of government approach” to COVID-19 after promising to “drain the swamp.”
Concerning the economy, Trump needs to work harder than ever to produce real and viewable results that we will recover. It will be almost impossible to bring the stock market up to its ultimate high and unemployment down to its ultimate low before the election. But if Trump can start moving us in the right direction he can tout his ability to not only build an economy but repair one as well come November.
As for his Democratic challenger, Trump admitted he was ready to face Sanders. That doesn’t mean he won’t be able to take down Biden. Joe Biden is an exceedingly weak candidate with a sordid and corrupt past. If you think we’ve heard about Burisma and Hunter Biden for the last time, you’ve got another thing coming. That’s not even mentioning the prospect of a one-on-one debate between the two.
When it comes to Trump’s “whole of government” approach to the Coronavirus, he is doing what needs to be done and he should not apologize. We are living through an extraordinary event in history and we must act like it. Trump may be implementing policy now that six months ago would have been unthinkable, but he is only doing it because his hand has been forced.
If Trump wants to win in November, he needs to be disciplined and presidential as he leads America through this dark period in our history.
"Bernie Sanders and his socialist policies have finally been defeated," you say.
But have you taken a look at the stimulus packages put forth by Republicans yesterday? It included checks of up to $1,200 for taxpayers. That's of course no indication of socialism, but it sure is a big bandaid for the failures of "small government" and the infamous bootstrap theorem.
When all is well, the poor are to be blamed for their own circumstances. Not just the poor, in fact, everyone is on their own.
In a dog-eat-dog country it's no surprise that a pandemic leads to a cascading effect of worries. There is no safety net. Not everyone has extra money around to swallow the losses.
You write, "Trump may be implementing policy now that six months ago would have been unthinkable, but he is only doing it because his hand has been forced."
What does that say, though? Policy that might have been unthinkable six months ago, is necessary now. Why? Because of an extraordinary event.
What does that say though, if our country only functions when all else is operating as usual? When this is over, there's no guarantee anyone will be receiving any more bandaids. This insecurity is bound to cause mass panic and mass outrage. Had we spent the last four years (and to be fair, the entire decade before this event) actively working on US infrastructure & planning, we could've improved the way in which we can respond to crises like this.
What about those operating small hospitals in rural America, what about those who will never see a coronavirus test no matter how sick? What about millions, who in the blink of an eye, lost everything? I think this will be the start of massive reforms, and perhaps it took a crisis to shake our Dear Leader into adopting policies he once spat on.